Prof. dr hab. Adam Izdebski
Prof. Adam Izdebski from the NCU Centre for Advanced Studies was awarded an ERC Synergy Grant 2024 for the project “Rethinking the Role of Pandemics (1300–1800): History, Natural Sciences, and Machine Learning.” The grant is worth approximately €10 million, making it one of the largest research grants ever awarded to Polish scientists.
The project seeks to explain why the same epidemics produced radically different social and biological outcomes across different places and historical periods.
Led by Prof. Izdebski, the research team studies pandemics in pre-industrial Europe by combining history, archaeology, biology, climate science, and machine learning. The researchers investigate the influence of factors such as war, famine, climate change, trade, population structures, and the coexistence of multiple pathogens on the course of epidemics. The project covers dozens of historical outbreaks across numerous regions of Europe.
The ultimate goal is to develop a new framework for understanding pandemics, demonstrating that their consequences are shaped not only by pathogens themselves but also by broader environmental and social contexts. In the future, the project's findings may contribute to improved forecasting of emerging pandemics and societal responses to epidemic threats.